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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
32.7% ( 1.49) | 25.46% ( 0.4) | 41.85% ( -1.89) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.6% ( -1.23) | 48.4% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.46% ( -1.14) | 70.54% ( 1.13) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( 0.36) | 28.09% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.24% ( 0.45) | 63.76% ( -0.45) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( -1.42) | 23% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.2% ( -2.14) | 56.8% ( 2.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.7% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.3)0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.85% |
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