SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Solihull Moors |
44.6% ( -0.5) | 25.51% ( -0.03) | 29.89% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( 0.39) | 49.7% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( 0.34) | 71.71% ( -0.34) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( -0.06) | 22.24% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( -0.1) | 55.68% ( 0.1) |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( 0.57) | 30.63% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% ( 0.68) | 66.87% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.6% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.89% |
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