SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Aldershot Town |
45.86% ( -0.12) | 25.58% ( 0.01) | 28.56% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.33% ( 0.02) | 50.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( 0.02) | 72.57% ( -0.02) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( -0.04) | 22.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.57% ( -0.07) | 55.43% ( 0.07) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% ( 0.09) | 32.1% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.43% ( 0.1) | 68.57% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.56% |
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