SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 50.55%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Wealdstone |
50.55% ( 0.01) | 22.93% | 26.51% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.13% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.58% ( -0.01) | 40.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.2% ( -0.01) | 62.79% ( 0.01) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( -0) | 16.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.4% ( -0) | 45.6% ( -0) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( -0.02) | 28.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% ( -0.02) | 64% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.55% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 3.58% Total : 26.51% |
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