Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
