SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Middlesbrough |
33.22% ( 0.4) | 23.15% ( 0.02) | 43.64% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 63.79% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.52% ( 0.03) | 37.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.29% ( 0.03) | 59.71% ( -0.03) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( 0.24) | 22.55% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( 0.35) | 56.13% ( -0.35) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.36% ( -0.16) | 17.64% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.75% ( -0.27) | 48.25% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.22% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.97% Total : 43.64% |
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