SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
52.07% ( 0.32) | 23.74% ( -0.04) | 24.19% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.86% ( -0.08) | 46.14% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.57% ( -0.07) | 68.43% ( 0.07) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( 0.09) | 17.71% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.63% ( 0.16) | 48.37% ( -0.16) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( -0.28) | 33.19% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.21% ( -0.31) | 69.79% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.64% Total : 52.07% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 24.19% |
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