SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Chesterfield |
29.01% ( -0.79) | 27.18% ( -0.06) | 43.81% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 48.37% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.33% ( -0.09) | 56.67% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.37% ( -0.07) | 77.63% ( 0.07) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.08% ( -0.65) | 34.91% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.34% ( -0.69) | 71.65% ( 0.68) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( 0.39) | 25.68% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.4% ( 0.53) | 60.6% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.14% Total : 29.01% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.8% |
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