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National League | Gameweek 18
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium
C
Kidderminster
1 - 3
Chesterfield
Brown (25')
Robinson (39'), McNally (64'), Pearce (68'), (82')
McNally (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Banks (21', 67'), Grigg (90+1')
Jones (24'), Freckleton (31')
Coverage of the National League clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Altrincham 1-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 4-0 York City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawChesterfield
29.01% (-0.786 -0.79) 27.18% (-0.061 -0.06) 43.81% (0.845 0.84)
Both teams to score 48.37% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.33% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)56.67% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.37% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)77.63% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08% (-0.648 -0.65)34.91% (0.645 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34% (-0.688 -0.69)71.65% (0.68400000000001 0.68)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (0.39200000000001 0.39)25.68% (-0.394 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4% (0.532 0.53)60.6% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 29.01%
    Chesterfield 43.8%
    Draw 27.17%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 29.01%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 12.18% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.28% (0.212 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 43.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Altrincham 1-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 2-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 0-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-2 Barnet
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-2 Oldham
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 4-0 York City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-0 Bromley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Chesterfield
Tuesday, September 26 at 8pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

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