Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
-0.79) 
0.84) 
