Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 72.65%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 10.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 3-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
