Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southend United in this match.
