Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%).
0.01) 
-0.02) 
