SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for York City had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | York City |
39.77% ( 0.06) | 26.26% ( -0.02) | 33.97% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.07% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( 0.09) | 51.53% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( 0.08) | 73.33% ( -0.07) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( 0.08) | 25.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.72% ( 0.11) | 60.28% ( -0.1) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( 0.02) | 28.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( 0.02) | 64.67% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.77% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.97% |
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