SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Wealdstone |
48.81% ( -0.04) | 24.28% ( 0.02) | 26.91% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.78% ( -0.04) | 46.22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.49% ( -0.04) | 68.51% ( 0.04) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( -0.03) | 19.01% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.43% ( -0.06) | 50.57% ( 0.06) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( 0) | 31.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% ( 0) | 67.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 26.91% |
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