SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Solihull Moors | Draw | York City |
34.24% ( -4.38) | 25.43% ( -0.31) | 40.33% ( 4.69) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.09% ( 1.18) | 47.9% ( -1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.91% ( 1.07) | 70.08% ( -1.07) |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( -1.94) | 26.9% ( 1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% ( -2.62) | 62.21% ( 2.62) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( 3.09) | 23.53% ( -3.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.42% ( 4.28) | 57.58% ( -4.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Solihull Moors | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.91) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.57)2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.94)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.46)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.57)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.23)Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.62)0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.81)1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.63)0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.63)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.28)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.34)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.31)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.33% |
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