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National League | Gameweek 15
Oct 22, 2022 at 5.20pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
A

Torquay Utd
4 - 4
Altrincham

Hall (47', 70'), Lapslie (80'), Crowe (90+7')
Hall (64'), Smith (90+8')
Marshall (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Conn (6'), Dinanga (28'), Hulme (85'), Southern-Cooper (90')
Byrne (59')
Coverage of the National League clash between Torquay United and Altrincham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 4-1 Dorking
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawAltrincham
45.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 24.5% (0.004999999999999 0) 30.12% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.43% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)45.19% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)67.54% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)20.03% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)52.23% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)28.19% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)63.89% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 45.38%
    Altrincham 30.12%
    Draw 24.49%
Torquay UnitedDrawAltrincham
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 45.38%
1-1 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.12%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: York City 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-3 Maidenhead
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 6-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-4 Solihull
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 4-1 Dorking
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-3 Altrincham
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Altrincham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 1-0 Aldershot
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 4-1 Altrincham
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 2-2 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League


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