Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for York City in this match.
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