SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Southend United |
25.28% ( 2.81) | 23.19% ( 1.09) | 51.52% ( -3.9) |
| Both teams to score 58% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.3% ( -2.05) | 42.69% ( 2.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( -2.07) | 65.1% ( 2.07) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( 1.23) | 30.42% ( -1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.37% ( 1.43) | 66.63% ( -1.44) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( -2.06) | 16.64% ( 2.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.52% ( -3.83) | 46.48% ( 3.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.55) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.72)2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.53)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.99% Total : 25.28% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.45)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.41)1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.52)0-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.62)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.44)0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.46)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.2)1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.24)Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.52% |
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