SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Fylde |
26.03% ( 1.56) | 24.85% ( 0.42) | 49.12% ( -1.98) |
| Both teams to score 53.27% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.73% ( -0.46) | 49.27% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.67% ( -0.42) | 71.32% ( 0.42) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( 1.06) | 33.34% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% ( 1.15) | 69.96% ( -1.15) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( -0.99) | 20.08% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( -1.61) | 52.32% ( 1.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.03% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.79% Total : 49.12% |
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