SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | York City |
33.41% ( -0.02) | 25.05% ( -0) | 41.54% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.98% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.59% ( 0.02) | 46.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.31% ( 0.02) | 68.69% ( -0.02) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( -0) | 26.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( -0) | 61.93% ( 0) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( 0.02) | 22.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.26% ( 0.03) | 55.74% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.41% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.54% |
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