Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
