Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
