Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 76.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 8.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 3-0 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
