SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Wrexham |
26.78% ( -0.09) | 23.66% ( -0.07) | 49.56% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% ( 0.24) | 43.54% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.06% ( 0.23) | 65.94% ( -0.23) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% ( 0.06) | 29.72% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.22% ( 0.07) | 65.78% ( -0.06) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.31% ( 0.15) | 17.68% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.68% ( 0.26) | 48.32% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.78% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.74% Total : 49.56% |
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