Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.