Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for York City had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.