SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for York City had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
41.21% ( 1.06) | 26.16% ( -0.09) | 32.62% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.56% ( 0.15) | 51.43% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.75% ( 0.13) | 73.24% ( -0.13) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( 0.62) | 24.65% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.82% ( 0.86) | 59.17% ( -0.86) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( -0.55) | 29.64% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% ( -0.67) | 65.68% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.62% |
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