Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Gateshead |
45.16% ( -0.05) | 23.73% ( -0.02) | 31.11% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 60.66% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.82% ( 0.15) | 41.18% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.42% ( 0.15) | 63.57% ( -0.15) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.49% ( 0.04) | 18.5% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.28% ( 0.07) | 49.72% ( -0.07) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% ( 0.12) | 25.56% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.57% ( 0.16) | 60.43% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.11% |
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