SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for York City had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest York City win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Barnet |
35.49% ( 0.2) | 23.9% ( -0.53) | 40.61% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 61.64% ( 1.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.45% ( 2.57) | 40.55% ( -2.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.07% ( 2.59) | 62.93% ( -2.59) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 1.3) | 22.74% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.58% ( 1.89) | 56.42% ( -1.89) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% ( 1.25) | 20.21% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.47% ( 1.96) | 52.53% ( -1.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.55)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.49% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.56)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.59)0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)Other @ 3% Total : 40.61% |
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