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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | York City |
33.23% ( -6.96) | 27.44% ( -0.43) | 39.34% ( 7.4) |
| Both teams to score 49.21% ( 1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.64% ( 1.87) | 56.36% ( -1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% ( 1.49) | 77.38% ( -1.49) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% ( -3.36) | 31.71% ( 3.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.87% ( -4.04) | 68.14% ( 4.05) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% ( 5.63) | 27.94% ( -5.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.43% ( 6.64) | 63.57% ( -6.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -1.82) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.8)2-0 @ 5.84% ( -1.72)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.62)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.94)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.22% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.66)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.9) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 1.12)0-2 @ 7.2% ( 1.53)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.92)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 1)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.38)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.41)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.41)Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.33% |
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