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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
29.72% ( -0.02) | 24.7% ( -0.01) | 45.58% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.72% ( 0.01) | 46.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.43% ( 0) | 68.57% ( -0.01) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( -0.01) | 29.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.08% ( -0.02) | 64.91% ( 0.01) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( 0.01) | 20.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.2% ( 0.02) | 52.8% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.53% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.72% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.91% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.58% |
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