Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.02) 
