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Nations League | League B
Oct 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Raiffeisen Arena
NN

Austria
5 - 1
Norway

Arnautovic (8', 49' pen.), Lienhart (58'), Posch (62'), Gregoritsch (71')
Posch (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sorloth (39')
Berge (28'), Hanche-Olsen (47'), Myhre (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Austria 4-0 Kazakhstan
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Norway 3-0 Slovenia
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Austria 2-2 Norway

It was a close contest when these sides met in September, with Norway just snatching victory thanks to an 80th-minute winner. Given home advantage on this occasion, Ralf Rangnick's hard-running Austria side should at least emerge with a draw, keeping them in the mix for a top-two finish next month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Norway had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Norway win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawNorway
45.51% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 24.02% (0.026 0.03) 30.47% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 59.28% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.15% (-0.122 -0.12)42.84% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.75% (-0.123 -0.12)65.25% (0.126 0.13)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)19.02% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.41% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)50.59% (0.101 0.1)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)26.79% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)62.07% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Austria 45.51%
    Norway 30.47%
    Draw 24.01%
AustriaDrawNorway
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 45.51%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.42% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 30.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Austria 4-0 Kazakhstan
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Norway 2-1 Austria
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Austria
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Austria 1-2 Turkey
Tuesday, July 2 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Austria
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Poland 1-3 Austria
Friday, June 21 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Norway 3-0 Slovenia
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Norway 2-1 Austria
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-0 Norway
Friday, September 6 at 3pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 3-1 Norway
Saturday, June 8 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 3-0 Kosovo
Wednesday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 1-1 Slovakia
Tuesday, March 26 at 6pm in International Friendlies


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