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Nations League | League B
Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
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Norway
3 - 0
Slovenia

Haaland (7', 62'), Sorloth (52')
Berg (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stojanovic (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Norway 2-1 Austria
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 3-0 Kazakhstan
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Norway 2-2 Slovenia

Norway and Slovenia both possess significant firepower on their sides, with the likes of Sorloth, Haaland and Sesko all expected to start on Thursday. With that in mind, we think that the contest should produce goals, but we also believe that the two teams may have to settle for a draw in a close-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
NorwayDrawSlovenia
61.29% (0.434 0.43) 23.19% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 15.52% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 43.07% (-1.101 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (-0.93 -0.93)54.96% (0.933 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77% (-0.775 -0.77)76.23% (0.77799999999999 0.78)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)17.58% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.86% (-0.317 -0.32)48.14% (0.32 0.32)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.26% (-1.218 -1.22)47.74% (1.221 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.96% (-0.916 -0.92)83.04% (0.92 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Norway 61.29%
    Slovenia 15.52%
    Draw 23.18%
NorwayDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 14.59% (0.44 0.44)
2-0 @ 12.68% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 61.29%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.99% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 15.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norway 2-1 Austria
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-0 Norway
Friday, September 6 at 3pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 3-1 Norway
Saturday, June 8 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 3-0 Kosovo
Wednesday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 1-1 Slovakia
Tuesday, March 26 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 1-2 Czech Republic
Friday, March 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Slovenia 3-0 Kazakhstan
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Austria
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 0-0 Slovenia (3-0 pen.)
Monday, July 1 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: England 0-0 Slovenia
Tuesday, June 25 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 20 at 2pm in European Championship
Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Denmark
Sunday, June 16 at 5pm in European Championship


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