With Kazakhstan holding home advantage and the lead from the first leg, it would be a big surprise to see Moldova mount a comeback given that they have lost their last 10 matches. Kazakhstan should set up to defend their lead but may also nick another goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%).

Result
Kazakhstan	Draw	Moldova
46.65%	22.61%	30.74%

Both teams to score 64.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.04%

35.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.95%

58.05%

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.11%

15.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.88%

45.12%

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78%

23.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.87%

57.14%

Score Analysis

Kazakhstan 46.65%

Moldova 30.74%

Draw 22.61%

Kazakhstan	Draw	Moldova
2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-2 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 0.95% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.94% Total : 46.65%	1-1 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 6.65% 0-0 @ 3.69% 3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.61%	1-2 @ 7.23% 0-1 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.74%