SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Moldova win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kazakhstan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kazakhstan.
| Result | ||
| Moldova | Draw | Kazakhstan |
| 36.77% | 24.87% | 38.36% |
| Both teams to score 58.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% | 45.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% | 67.39% |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% | 24.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% | 58.41% |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% | 23.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.8% | 57.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moldova | Draw | Kazakhstan |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.99% Total : 36.77% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-1 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.36% |
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