SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Belarus |
| 60.05% | 24.63% | 15.32% |
| Both teams to score 39.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.85% | 60.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.65% | 80.35% |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.81% | 52.19% |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.84% | 51.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.55% | 85.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wales | Draw | Belarus |
| 1-0 @ 16.46% 2-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 4.77% 4-0 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.6% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.28% Total : 60.04% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 2.98% Other @ 0.38% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 6.86% 1-2 @ 3.7% 0-2 @ 2.3% Other @ 2.46% Total : 15.32% |
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