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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
FN

Ukraine
1 - 1
France

Shaparenko (44')
Yarmolenko (88'), Malinovskyi (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martial (50')
Kimpembe (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 52.68%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.97%) and 0-1 (6.92%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
UkraineDrawFrance
25.74%21.57%52.68%
Both teams to score 64.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.44%34.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.51%56.49%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26%25.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33%60.67%
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64%13.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.74%40.26%
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 25.75%
    France 52.69%
    Draw 21.57%
UkraineDrawFrance
2-1 @ 6.38%
1-0 @ 4.67%
2-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.9%
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 0.99%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.75%
1-1 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 6.42%
0-0 @ 3.44%
3-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.57%
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-2 @ 6.97%
0-1 @ 6.92%
1-3 @ 6.34%
0-3 @ 4.67%
2-3 @ 4.31%
1-4 @ 3.19%
0-4 @ 2.35%
2-4 @ 2.17%
1-5 @ 1.29%
3-4 @ 0.98%
0-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 52.69%

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