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Nations League | League A
Nov 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
IN

Belgium
0 - 1
Italy


Castagne (28'), Onana (67'), Al Dakhil (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tonali (11')
Bastoni (45+2'), Kean (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 1-2 France
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current League A2 Standings P GD PTS
1Italy4610
2France449
3Belgium4-14
4Israel4-90
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Italy 4-1 Israel
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current League A2 Standings P GD PTS
1Italy4610
2France449
3Belgium4-14
4Israel4-90

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Italy had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Italy win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
BelgiumDrawItaly
51.11% (1.1 1.1) 24.88% (-0.191 -0.19) 24% (-0.911 -0.91)
Both teams to score 51.17% (-0.352 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.93% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)51.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.07% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)72.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02% (0.45100000000001 0.45)19.98% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.84% (0.724 0.72)52.15% (-0.724 -0.72)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95% (-0.80500000000001 -0.81)36.05% (0.804 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17% (-0.83 -0.83)72.83% (0.83 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 51.1%
    Italy 24%
    Draw 24.88%
BelgiumDrawItaly
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.207 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.11 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 51.1%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.35% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Belgium 1-2 France
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Italy 2-2 Belgium
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 2-0 Belgium
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 3-1 Israel
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 1-0 Belgium
Monday, July 1 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Belgium
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Italy 4-1 Israel
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Italy 2-2 Belgium
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Israel 1-2 Italy
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 1-3 Italy
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Switzerland 2-0 Italy
Saturday, June 29 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Italy
Monday, June 24 at 8pm in European Championship


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