Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Italy had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Italy win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Italy	Draw	Belgium
35.91%	24.7%	39.39%

Both teams to score 58.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67%

44.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3%

66.7%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.75%

24.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.39%

58.6%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.57%

22.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.04%

55.95%

Score Analysis

Italy 35.91%

Belgium 39.39%

Draw 24.69%

Italy	Draw	Belgium
2-1 @ 8.16% 1-0 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.98% Total : 35.91%	1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 8.61% 0-1 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.39%