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Nations League | League A
Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
GN

Netherlands
2 - 2
Germany

Reijnders (2'), Dumfries (50')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Undav (38'), Kimmich (45+3')
Schlotterbeck (14'), Tah (24'), Raum (32'), Wirtz (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Netherlands 5-2 Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Germany 5-0 Hungary
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawGermany
37.02% (0.114 0.11) 25.46% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 37.52% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 56.12% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.23% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)47.77% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04% (-0.058 -0.06)69.96% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (0.034000000000006 0.03)25.22% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (0.044999999999995 0.04)59.96% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)24.95% (0.098000000000003 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.41% (-0.136 -0.14)59.59% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 37.02%
    Germany 37.52%
    Draw 25.46%
NetherlandsDrawGermany
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 37.02%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Netherlands 5-2 Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Netherlands 1-2 England
Wednesday, July 10 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 2-1 Turkey
Saturday, July 6 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Romania 0-3 Netherlands
Tuesday, July 2 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Austria
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 0-0 France
Friday, June 21 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Germany 5-0 Hungary
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Spain 2-1 Germany
Friday, July 5 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Denmark
Saturday, June 29 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Switzerland 1-1 Germany
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Hungary
Wednesday, June 19 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Germany 5-1 Scotland
Friday, June 14 at 8pm in European Championship


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