Nations League | League C

Oct 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Torsvollur

Faroe Islands
1 - 1
Latvia

Sorensen (40')
Davidsen (39'), Bjartalid (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sits (69')
Ikaunieks (49')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Faroe Islands and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Faroe Islands

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Faroe Islands 2-2 Armenia
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
2	Armenia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Latvia	0	0	0

Latvia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Latvia 0-3 N. Macedonia
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
2	Armenia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Latvia	0	0	0

We said: Faroe Islands 1-0 Latvia

Knowing that a draw or worse will most likely condemn them to relegation, the Faroes will be well aware of the importance of this one, and their good recent home form suggests they are capable of finding a first win of the campaign. Latvia have already beaten the hosts in this section, but have been well off it in their other two games, especially on Thursday, and they could well be narrowly edged out here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Latvia win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Faroe Islands	Draw	Latvia
48.73% ( -1.01)	24.85% ( 0.07)	26.42% ( 0.95)

Both teams to score 53.61% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.01% (

0.44)

48.99% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92% (

0.39)

71.08% (

-0.39)

Faroe Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86% (

-0.25)

20.13% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.59% (

-0.4)

52.41% (

0.4)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.12% (

1.01)

32.87% (

-1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.55% (

1.1)

69.45% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Faroe Islands 48.72%

Latvia 26.42%

Draw 24.85%

Faroe Islands	Draw	Latvia
1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.72%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.42%