Based off previous encounters, Gibraltar seem to have a slight edge on their opponents, so we expect them to win by a narrow margin. It will be a closely contested match, so they may well win in the same fashion as they did last time out.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gibraltar would win this match.
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