SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 5 | 14 | 13 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 3 | Hungary | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 5 | -13 | 1 |
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 5 | 14 | 13 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 3 | Hungary | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 5 | -13 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 50.55%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hungary | Draw | Germany |
25.04% ( -0.29) | 24.41% ( 0.19) | 50.55% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.73% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.78% ( -1.04) | 48.22% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( -0.96) | 70.37% ( 0.96) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.41% ( -0.8) | 33.59% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.76% ( -0.88) | 70.24% ( 0.88) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% ( -0.36) | 19.09% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.3% ( -0.61) | 50.7% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungary | Draw | Germany |
| 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.04% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.55% |
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