SM
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Kazakhstan |
56.54% ( 0.7) | 23.93% ( -0.23) | 19.53% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.91% ( 0.31) | 52.09% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.19% ( 0.27) | 73.81% ( -0.27) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( 0.38) | 18.26% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.69% ( 0.64) | 49.3% ( -0.64) |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.92% ( -0.34) | 41.08% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.37% ( -0.3) | 77.62% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luxembourg | Draw | Kazakhstan |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.53% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 19.53% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
