SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gibraltar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gibraltar.
| Result | ||
| Gibraltar | Draw | San Marino |
58.09% ( 2.59) | 21.98% ( 0.32) | 19.93% ( -2.91) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( -5.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.6% ( -5.29) | 43.4% ( 5.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.2% ( -5.42) | 65.8% ( 5.42) |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.34% ( -0.96) | 14.66% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.19% ( -1.87) | 42.81% ( 1.87) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.37% ( -5.71) | 35.63% ( 5.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.6% ( -6.38) | 72.4% ( 6.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gibraltar | Draw | San Marino |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 1.88) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 9.63% ( 1.53)3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.8)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.63)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.29)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.37)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.79% Total : 58.09% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.52) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 1.13)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.77)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.44)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.59)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.55)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.61)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.24)Other @ 1.87% Total : 19.93% |
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