SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Marino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Marino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Gibraltar |
43.75% ( 0.08) | 24.89% ( -0) | 31.36% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% | 46.37% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% | 68.66% |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( 0.04) | 21.23% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( 0.05) | 54.14% ( -0.05) |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( -0.04) | 27.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.41% ( -0.06) | 63.59% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Marino | Draw | Gibraltar |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.75% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.36% |
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