After the high of a first three-point haul, San Marino are set for the more familiar taste of defeat at Stadionul Zimbru.
Moldova have been gradually improving for some time now, and they are deservedly favourites to earn promotion from League D.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 85.11%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 3.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.87%) and 1-0 (12.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.97%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moldova would win this match.
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