North Macedonia have taken control of this group and they are unbeaten in their last six fixtures on home soil. The Faroes have put themselves in a good position to reach the playoffs, but historically they have struggled away from home.
Therefore, we are going with a narrow 1-0 win for the hosts, which could hinder the Faroe Islands' promotion hopes if results elsewhere go against them.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.87%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for North Macedonia in this match.
1.48) 
-0.73) 
