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Nations League | League C
Nov 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tose Proeski Arena
LN

N. Macedonia
1 - 0
Latvia

Serafimov (57')
Serafimov (54'), Zajkov (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Savaļnieks (30'), Gutkovskis (84'), Tobers (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Armenia 0-2 N. Macedonia
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Faroe Islands 1-1 Latvia
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: North Macedonia 2-0 Latvia

Possessing the opportunity to secure Nations League promotion in front of their home crowd on Thursday night, North Macedonia will be raring to dispatch Latvia in Skopje. The Wolves are poor travellers and after scraping a draw at the Faroe Islands last month, we do not expect Nicolato's side to earn a shock result at Tose Proeski Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 11.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.43%) and 3-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for North Macedonia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for North Macedonia.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawLatvia
68.36% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 20.41% (0.012 0.01) 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 39.82% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.03% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)52.97% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.43% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)74.57% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)14.54% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)42.58% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.6%53.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)86.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 68.36%
    Latvia 11.23%
    Draw 20.41%
North MacedoniaDrawLatvia
1-0 @ 14.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 14.43%
3-0 @ 9.28% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 68.36%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.84%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Armenia 0-2 N. Macedonia
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Latvia 0-3 N. Macedonia
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Macedonia 2-0 Armenia
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Faroe Islands 1-1 N. Macedonia
Saturday, September 7 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Game: Czech Republic 2-1 N. Macedonia
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Croatia 3-0 N. Macedonia
Monday, June 3 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Faroe Islands 1-1 Latvia
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Latvia 0-3 N. Macedonia
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Latvia 1-0 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Armenia 4-1 Latvia
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Latvia 1-0 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Lithuania
Saturday, June 8 at 2pm in Baltic Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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