Possessing the opportunity to secure Nations League promotion in front of their home crowd on Thursday night, North Macedonia will be raring to dispatch Latvia in Skopje.
The Wolves are poor travellers and after scraping a draw at the Faroe Islands last month, we do not expect Nicolato's side to earn a shock result at Tose Proeski Arena.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.43%) and 3-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for North Macedonia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for North Macedonia.
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