SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest San Marino win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | San Marino |
49.94% ( -0.01) | 24.08% ( 0) | 25.98% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.98% ( -0) | 46.01% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.68% ( -0) | 68.32% ( 0) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( -0) | 18.48% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.31% ( -0.01) | 49.68% ( 0) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.36% | 31.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.95% ( -0) | 68.04% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estonia | Draw | San Marino |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 49.94% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.74% Total : 25.98% |
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