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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
EN

Belgium
3 - 1
Estonia

Benteke (11'), Carrasco (53'), Hazard (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sorga (70')
Mets (14')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 11.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.76%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawEstonia
67.74%21.04%11.22%
Both teams to score 38.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.75%55.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52%76.48%
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51%15.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62%44.38%
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.2%54.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.24%87.76%
Score Analysis
    Belgium 67.73%
    Estonia 11.22%
    Draw 21.04%
BelgiumDrawEstonia
1-0 @ 15.83%
2-0 @ 14.76%
3-0 @ 9.18%
2-1 @ 8.88%
3-1 @ 5.52%
4-0 @ 4.28%
4-1 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.6%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 67.73%
1-1 @ 9.52%
0-0 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.04%
0-1 @ 5.11%
1-2 @ 2.86%
0-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 11.22%

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